The xwOBA Matchup Calculation Method Explained Step-by-Step

Last Night as we reviewed the Matchup Guide we described the method for the calculation. These six one minute clips take you through the process.


Step one- Getting the xwOBA data from baseballsavant.mlb.com for the pitchers

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxsTlpRahYtROJDk1DPwDM0zJaT0jLcf6B


Step two- Getting the hitting data and and Larry explains why he uses xwOBA

https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxp4n8C5QTnWO6tknpV8f65pp_ydtg1HIk


Step three- Larry puts the pitching and hitter data into a pitcher table and calculates the Schwarber batter vs. the Verlander pitch mix

https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxs-PopVbL4AvGhZWCRih13n28AzFq0-zI


The Schwarber Math


Step four- Larry calculates the Verlander pitcher adjustment and calculates the matchup xwOBA

https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxg8XJSvmb7OoOCmosO_1ufHiejodUmImb


The Verlander Adjustment Math

Step 5- Larry shows how the Verlander data is put into the matchup matrix and calculates the Verlander vs. Phillies lineup average xwOBA

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxD7CkJ4gny94VtIGdPxDGzI0qCHgHFByO


Step 6- Larry describes how we will use the tables during the game

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxK79Vh7GfDpsZrz8LFChkQF0dsCPvXUyj


Then I asked Casey and Clint for feedback

Casey's thoughts

https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxj8sCaDR1XuDqzXKRykWux98y7lW6RXEi

Clint describes how this works with pitch sequence

https://youtube.com/clip/UgkxeGzMCl6jl5F6WCCcwe4_E_Z3gnkXwy8u

How this data gets used

https://youtube.com/clip/Ugkxy-3TTUn8KJGScfGyahxjoggSYz2Auyyr


Let me know what you think.

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