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Writer's pictureLarryTheGM

MoneyMaker: NCAA Week 3 Line Gaps

Updated: Sep 17

I am committed to bringing you MoneyMaker Content for the MLB and NCAA. For my NCAA MoneyMaker Content, I am going to bring you where I see gaps in the line and show you by my system where I THINK the line should be.


Folks, this is VERY developmental. I like how it played through for the season predictions, but how it works week to week is still to be determined. As I went through the season predictions, I made some adjustments to the Point Spread Rating to fix what I thought were errors. Through two weeks these picks are 6-4.


Here are the rules we deployed for our picks in Week 1.

  • Contests must be FBS vs, FBS.

  • I think a point spread gap needs to be at least 8 (either less than -8 or more than +8) to consider action. You will see that the system is generally suggesting a LOT of underdogs. I am not sure about that.

  • Stay away from 30-point spreads. I am reducing this to 24-point plus spreads.

  • I am also going to stay away from -10 or less Point Spread Rating teams at least for now.

  • I have added another filter- PFF's cover probability. I want a cover probability of 51.9% or better.


Here are the five picks the system would recommend.


MoneyMakers, let me know what you think. I would not take action on these YET, but that is how the system works. Now you have something else to watch this weekend.


There you go- my MoneyMaker NCAA Week 3 Line Gaps. We went 2-3 last week. Season record ATS 8-7.






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