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Writer's pictureLarryTheGM

MoneyMaker: Astros Daily Lineup Analysis- 5/12/24

This will be a daily installment for the MoneyMaker subscribers- either on the LarryTheGM site or on Patreon.


My job in the MoneyMaker space is to give you a potential edge in the odds market that you may choose to put some action on. Here is my daily Astros MoneyMaker lineup analysis for 5/12/24- Astros vs. Tigers


I do not believe there is ANYONE else doing this analysis for you. Check it out.


Here today's video

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Disclaimer 1- This content is intended to help give you possible ideas you might use to place sports wagers in areas where doing so IS legal. There is no guarantee of results implied. Use these recommendations at your own risk. NEVER gamble what you can't afford to lose.

Baseball is not a sport that lends itself to daily action. What I am doing here is nearly impossible. I am giving you the angle most can't see nor apply. THAT is part of what makes this site so unique.


Disclaimer 2- These articles are going to be blunt and reflect what the numbers say and NOT what I want nor what I hope happens. DO NOT get this confused. I am TRYING to help you in the fantasy baseball and daily fantasy space. I am not going to waste your time on what I want. I am going to tell you what the numbers say is most LIKELY.



for this series. This will be available at the lower premium price level and to all Patreon members. This article helps set the foundation for the revolutionary thing we do with that data to give you the MoneyMaker edge below.


The MoneyMaker Daily Lineup Analysis Data

This data will be set with the 2023 xwOBA data. We will consider updating to the 2024 current season data in June when there is enough of a database for it.

We focus the data on starters vs. the other team's lineups. League average wOBA 0.319.


Starting for the Astros- Justin Verlander vs. the Tigers



The Tigers have several rookies players who do not have data yet in my database.


Of the Tigers players I do have, they project as a team to hit 0.294 xwOBA today

.

The Tigers best bet fantasy stars today are:

  • No picks


The runs model would project the Tigers to score 3.8 runs today if the starting pitcher was in the game for 9 innings.


Starting for the Tigers- Jack Flaherty vs. the Astros


Some may wonder why both Loperfido AND Cabbage are in today's game.

The Astros are telling you they believe in the long-term trend and that he is hittable by LHH.


Overall Flaherty has been better early in 2024 (0.278) than he was last year (0.343). Who is the real Jack Flaherty is the question of the day.


Altuve gets a well-deserved day off.


The Astros project as a team to hit 0.362 xwOBA today. That is based on 2023 Flaherty.


The Astros best bet fantasy stars today are:

  • There are several near choices but let's stay conservative.

  • Alverez (0.504)- over 1.5 Total Bases (+120 on Bovada)

  • Tucker (0.431)- over 1.5 Total Bases (NOT AVAILABLE on Bovada)

  • Tucker (0.431)- over 1.5 Total Hits, Runs And RBI's (-140 on Bovada)


The runs model would project the Astros to score 6.0 runs today if the starting pitcher was in the game for 9 innings.


Let's have fun today Astros fans.

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