The Astros 2024 Season has been a challenge for the team and its fans. It has been a season of deep lows and an epic run to the AL West title.
Uncover the truth about the 2024 Astros compared to other franchise teams and MLB history. How good are the 2024 Astros? Find out now.
To do this comparison, let's use wRC+ and FIP- as we did in the TBI and TPI articles. We will add the teams wRC+ with (200-"FIP-").
For example, 2024 Astros
wRC+: 111.3
FIP-: 99.3
Total: 212 (111.3+(200-99.3))
An average team would score 200.
The + and - statistics provide a ballpark adjustment and contextualize the core statistics into the hitting environment of that season. This allows us to compare teams over season and even eras of the game. This does not factor in fielding into this analysis.
So how do the 2024 Astros compare to the other franchise teams?
It should be no real surprise that the 2019 Astros top this list. I will probably shock with more about that team later.
The 2024 Astros started the first month off terribly and that impacts their season numbers - especially in the pitching area.
Overall, the 2024 Astros are ninth on this list slightly better than last year's team.
I was curious how the 2024 Astros since 8/1/24.
wRC+: 113.2
FIP-: 87.0
Total: 226.3
This would put the 2024 since August Astros just behind the 2017 and 2022 Astros. That is how good they are headed into the postseason as long as Yordan is healthy enough to play.
Follow the heatmap to see how every one of your favorite Astros teams compare.
How do the 2024 Astros compare with the other 2024 teams?
The Astros rank seventh among the full season teams in the table to the right. They are third among the AL Playoff teams.
You will notice the Tigers rank tenth among the twelve postseason teams.
Both the Astros and Tigers have surged late in the season. You see that the Astros since 8/1 are the BEST team in this rating. The Tigers are significantly better over the last two months as well.
You will notice the historical ranking of all of the 2024 teams. No team would truly rate as an all-time EXCELLENT team. Well, if the Astros played like they have over the last two months, they might be in the mix.
What MLB team in what season do you think ranks at the TOP of the list of ALL teams since 1950?
The answer may shock you. Here is the top 200. The full list has 1895 teams.
Seventy-four percent of teams are between 180 (an average of 10% worse than average) and 210 (an average of 5% better than average.)
The 2019 Astros are THE BEST team on this list. Their combination of premium pitching and hitting makes them number one. Notice how many of the golden era Astros are also in this top 200 (10.5% of the list.) Of the ten Astros teams from 2015 to 2024, seven are on this list. Only 2016, 2020, and 2023 (barely) don't make the list.
The 2024 Astros are right at the 90th percentile. Only ten percent of MLB teams since 1950 are better than the full season Houston Astros.
The 2024 Astros since August would be in the 99th percentile. If they can perform like this in the post season, it is more than fair to dream.
Now that we know how good the 2024 Astros really are, let's turn to the AL Wildcard series.
Comments