On June 18, 2023, something happened to the Astros that has not been true this late into an MLB season since 2016.
Today, if the season ended today the Astros would not be in the postseason.
Every season 2017-2019 and 2021-2022 this late into the season (72 games), the Astros always remained in a postseason position from this point forward. Of course, there were only 60 games in 2020 total.
The Good News is
- the season does not end today
- they are only 0.5 games out of the wildcard
- the Astros STILL have 90 games to pull it together
- Michael Brantley seems to be tracking to a return soon
- the Astros pitching has been great
The Bad News is
- the fangraphs.com projections DO NOT project the Astros to make the postseason, they have a 53.6% odds of making the postseason which is seventh in the AL.
- they are SEVEN teams contending for three wildcard spots
- Lance McCullers Jr. and Luis Garcia are out for the year
- Yordan Alvarez is hurt for at least another 3 weeks
- the Astros batting has been average at best
I KNOW you all aren't concerned. I KNOW. You need to know we haven't been here before.
Does this mean the Astros will be more aggressive at the trade deadline or less? I think it REALLY depends on the games the Astros play right now. I wrote about this in more detail here.