Updated: Oct 3
This graph will show folks how the 2023 compares with the 2022 106-win World Series season and the 2021 95-win ALCS Championship season.
Click on the graph to see it in full screen.
Astros in 2023 are trying to stay on pace with the 2021 team that won 95 games. They are currently behind that pace. Remember how eager all of the on-pace people were to tell you how this team was on pace with last year and some of us expressing concerns were just idiots? Just show them this graph.
Last two years 162 games into the schedule:
- 2021- 8 game lead in the division- 100% FanGraphs odds of making postseason
- 2022 - 16 game lead in the division- 100% FanGraphs odds of making postseason
- 2023- tied for first in the division- won tiebreaker- 100% FanGraphs odds of making postseason
Friends, the Astros are in a BATTLE to make the postseason. You can read more about that here.
The 2023 Astros would be 17 games behind the 2019 Astros in the standings at the end of the season.
2019 Astros 107-55
2022 Astros 106-56
2018 Astros 103-59
2017 Astros 101-61
2021 Astros 95-67
2023 Astros 90-72
2015 Astros 86-76
Maybe this helps calibrate expectations for the 2023 Astros.
Where do you think the Astros end the season?