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Writer's pictureLarryTheGM

Astros Series Guide Data- Rays- 8/2-8/4

Unlock the game within the game with the Astros Series Guide Data- Rays. Get in-depth batting, pitching, and expected stats analysis.


Once Again, thank you for supporting this site and helping us exist and paying the bills.



Video Series Preview at 5:15PM


Now, let me give you the series guide.


Current Team Status

Status before the series


The Astros remain in the playoff hunt in first place in the AL West. The team currently has 59.1% projected chance of making the Post Season according to Fangraphs.com.


The Rays traded away several of their most talented players (per Roster Resource on Fangraphs.com).


After the Game 1 win that is now 61.5%



Overall Astros Series Statistical Matchup


The Rays are a very average team statistically.




Bating Lineups Comparison

This table compares the offenses of the two teams by each spot in their projected typical batting orders.

The current Astros lineup projects to hit 115 wRC+ the rest of the season and is hitting 108 so far. The current Rays lineup projects to hit 100 wRC+ the rest of the season and is hitting 100 so far.



Pitching Staff Comparison

The Astros are projected to pitch 4.08 FIP for the rest of 2024 and have pitched to a 4.27 FIP so far. The Rays are projected to pitch 3.99 FIP for the rest of 2024 and have pitched to a 4.17 FIP so far.

You can see how the starting and relief pitchers have fared so far.



Expected Stats (xwOBA) Tables - by Pitch Type and Platoon


These tables form the basis of my MoneyMaker matchups. One can follow the action and see what pitches the pitchers throw well and what pitches the hitter hit well.


The data is now completely based on 2024 data except:

  • Aledmys Diaz is in the data base as 2023-2024 data.

  • Loperfido and Cabbage vs. LHP is in the data base as a combination of AAA and major league data in 2023-2024.

  • Bloss and King vs. LHH is in the data base as a combination of AAA and major league data in 2023-2024.

  • Bloss data is severely limited because he spent little time in AAA.


This data unlocks the game within the game. It comes from the data provided from Baseball Savant. This data will change how you watch baseball if you really understand it.


First, I give you the Astros Data.


Astros Batters vs. LHP

Astros Batters vs. RHP

Notice how the Astros batters are better vs. fastballs than they are breaking and off-speed pitches.


Astros Pitching vs. LHH

Astros Pitching vs. RHH

Opponent Batters vs. LHP

Opponent Batters vs. RHP

Opponent Pitching vs. LHH

Opponent Pitching vs. RHH


The beauty of this data is you can see the relative strengths and weaknesses of the hitter and pitcher and then understand why certain players are pitched the way they are and why substitutions are made.


Don't get lost in the numbers too much. Pay attention to the heatmap color if that helps.


Basic Rules

  • Red is good for that player.

  • Blue is not good.

  • Average xwOBA set at 0.319.

The hitter and pitcher data gets cross referenced to produce the MoneyMaker Astros Daily Lineup Analysis that could be used to get an edge for your fantasy baseball teams.


Also check out the MoneyMaker: Astros Daily Lineup Analysis here for tonight's game. Video after the lineups are released.





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